Poll: Most Americans Say Arms Sales Make the US Less Secure
Daniel Larison / The American Conservative
(July 11, 2019) — The Chicago Council on Global Affairs recently released the results of a new survey on U.S. public opinion on arms sales and the U.S.-Saudi relationship:
As Congress weighs the decision by the Trump Administration to sell additional weapons to Saudi Arabia, a newly completed survey of US public opinion finds that most Americans oppose the US sale of weapons in general, and they are fairly divided on whether the US relationship with Riyadh makes a positive or negative contribution to US national security.
The survey found that a large majority of Americans (70%) believes that arms sales to other governments makes the US less safe, and 50% believe that the relationship with the Saudis weakens US national security. Somewhat surprisingly, there were large majorities that said arms sales made the US less safe regardless of political affiliation.
Republicans were a little less likely to give that answer and Democrats were a little more likely, but there is broad consensus among Americans that arms sales are bad for US security.
Despite this broad consensus that arms sales are bad for US security, public opinion is more evenly divided on the value of the relationship with Riyadh. Most Republicans have a favorable view of the relationship, but most Democrats and independents take the opposite position.
Saudi Arabia is one of the best examples of how US arms sales are harming our security and the security of the Middle East. They have not only used U.S.-made weapons to kill thousands of civilians in an aggressive war against their neighbor, but they and the UAE have been diverting some of the weapons our government sold them to Yemeni militias and the allies of terrorists.
The Saudi coalition war has strengthened Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP), and the coalition and its proxies have fought alongside AQAP members, armed them, recruited them, and paid them. You could not ask for a clearer case of US arms sales directly fueling groups that threaten the US and our allies, but there appears to be a disconnect between recognizing that arms sales generally are harmful to our security and understanding that the U.S.-Saudi relationship exemplifies how arms sales are harmful.
It would be interesting to follow up with these same respondents to find out why they think the relationship strengthens or weakens US national security. I wonder how many of the people giving the response that it strengthens our security are saying this because they think that Saudi Arabia is an “ally” (it isn’t) or because they think that their government is a valuable counter-terrorism partner (it’s a very poor one).
Perhaps a future survey could try to find out how much Americans know about how the Saudis and others pass along U.S.-made weapons to third parties, and then ask the question about the Saudi relationship again.
The good news is that at least half of the public recognizes that the U.S.-Saudi relationship makes the US less secure, and there is potential to reach many more Americans that see arms sales to other governments as a danger.
Daniel Larison is a senior editor at The American Conservative, where he also keeps a solo blog. He has been published in the New York Times Book Review, Dallas Morning News, Orthodox Life, Front Porch Republic, The American Scene, and Culture11, and is a columnist for The Week. He holds a PhD in history from the University of Chicago, and resides in Dallas. Follow him on Twitter. This article is reprinted from The American Conservative.
Two-thirds of Veterans Say the Iraq War Wasn’t Worth Fighting
Tim Fernholz / Quartz @ After Action Report
(July 10, 2019) — Majorities of veterans and the general public agree that the US wars in Iraq and Afghanistan weren’t worth fighting, and hold similar views about the ongoing US military campaign in Syria.
The findings come from a new survey of American adults produced by the Pew Research Center. The Iraq war in particular was seen as futile, suggesting that public sentiment is in line with the conclusion of US military strategists who say the biggest beneficiary of the 2003 invasion was Iran.
Though the war in Afghanistan began 18 years ago, public opinion on the issue remains depressingly relevant. US troops are still present in all three theaters, though nowhere near the concentration seen during the height of the US occupation of Iraq.
In US president Donald Trump’s White House, one of the architects of the Iraq war, national security adviser John Bolton, is seen pushing the US towards new confrontations with Iran. Congress, meanwhile, is debating whether to finally end the legal authorization for these wars, originally intended to retaliate for the 9/11 attacks and since used to authorize wars in seven countries.
And then there are the 2020 Democratic presidential primaries, where national security policy has taken a back seat to Trump, civil rights, health care and immigration. The legacy of Iraq is sure to arise, since the frontrunner in the polls, former Vice President Joe Biden, was initially a supporter of the war, while many of his rivals were and remain critics. Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders has called on Democrats to make ending “the forever war” a key plank in the party’s platform.
This survey, at least, provides evidence that many Americans are likely to agree with a pessimistic take on US conflicts abroad. Still, there is a significant partisan divide. Republicans are more likely to see the wars as worth US sacrifices, though a majority of Republicans still see both wars as futile. Republican veterans are the only group in the survey to feel that the ongoing conflict in Syria is worth US commitment.
Pew’s researchers also found that a majority of veterans approve of Trump’s work as commander-in-chief of the US military. The researchers told Quartz they had not asked that specific question about any previous president, but noted that in 2011, a survey of veterans and their family members found the same split for then-president Barack Obama, with just 41% of those surveyed disapproving of his military leadership.
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